Three Rule Method Kit cover with the decision worksheet, forecast workbook and how-to pages, built on Reasoned Leadership
What's inside: Decision Worksheet and Pocket Card, Forecast Workbook, Forecast Tracker and TRM Companion
Completed Three Rule Method decision worksheet for replacing a key employee
Forecast Workbook pages for environmental scanning and the extended pass
Sample TRM Companion decision summary with three options, assumption counts and a backup
Works with Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, Excel and Sheets, with the license summary

Three Rule Method Kit: Decisions, Forecasts and AI Companion

$29.99

What’s included

  • Decision Worksheet: how-to page, worked example and fillable worksheet (Letter and A4)
  • Pocket Decision Card (print and cut)
  • Forecast Workbook: 8 fillable pages (Letter and A4)
  • Forecast Tracker spreadsheet with calibration summary
  • Three Rule Method reference file for AI assistants
  • TRM Companion instructions: Decision mode and Forecast mode
  • Setup Guide with sample outputs and a first test
  • Start Here guide and plain-English license

Who it’s for

Leaders, managers and business owners who make consequential decisions or need to project what comes next, including anyone who wants an AI assistant that follows a disciplined method.

Files

  • Decision Worksheet, fillable PDF, US Letter (4 pages)
  • Decision Worksheet, fillable PDF, A4 (4 pages)
  • Forecast Kit ZIP: Workbook PDFs (Letter and A4, 8 pages each) and Tracker (.xlsx)
  • AI Kit ZIP: 2 text files (.md) and a Setup Guide PDF (3 pages)
  • Start Here, How to Open and License PDF (3 pages)

Instant download after purchase. The link also arrives by email.

Make today’s decision and next year’s forecast with one disciplined method: fillable worksheets, a forecast workbook, an accuracy tracker and an AI companion.

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Description

Built on the Reasoned Leadership framework, developed by Dr David M Robertson, MSL, VL2.

Two options means one is missing

Most bad decisions start as a two-option argument made under pressure. The Three Rule Method replaces that with three steps in strict order: Basic Logic, then Cause and Effect, then Occam’s Razor. You separate facts from feelings, set the extremes aside, build three viable options, look two steps past the first effect, and choose the option with the fewest assumptions that still fits your goal.

From today’s decision to next year’s forecast

  • Decision Worksheet and Pocket Card: a fillable one-page worksheet with a how-to page and a worked example, plus a wallet card to keep the method on hand.
  • Forecast Workbook: the extended form of the method for projections months or years out, organized by the three pillars of strategic forecasting: environmental scanning, scenario planning and influence mapping, with a backup plan and quarterly reviews.
  • Forecast Tracker: a spreadsheet that logs each forecast against what actually happened, so you can see whether your high-confidence calls really are more accurate.
  • TRM Companion: AI instructions and a reference file for Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini or Grok. Decision mode walks you through the sequence and counts assumptions; Forecast mode runs the extended pass, names a backup and sets your next review date.

Good to know

  • Works in a regular chat with nothing to install. The tracker opens in Excel, Google Sheets or LibreOffice.
  • Forecasts are best-educated guesses from current information, and the method can’t account for other people changing their decisions. The kit says so plainly and builds in reviews to keep you updated.
  • Pairs with the Contrastive Inquiry Bundle: pick the best option here, then attack it there.
  • License: use it yourself and share it with one team you lead or work on. You can use the method and companion in client sessions you run. No resale or sharing beyond your team.

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